The BashCast

The BashCast:: Late and Live - Santa Special

Agenda:

1. We answer questions from the last episode
2. A year in review for 2025. How did we do on golf, on horse racing, DDHH and coupons. What are my top tips and resolutions for 2025?
3. PDC Darts update – we are one week in to the world championships, a look at what I’ve been betting on and some inplay tournament angles
4. A well known Sports Betting Professional announced that the Wincast odds are impossible to work out. So – let’s look at the exact Wincast calculation
5. Betfred have 50% on top of correct score accumulators. Is there any value?
6. Coupons and cuts – how do we deal with them?
7. And your chance to win the final bookiebashing mug of 2025 – I want to know, how many darts will be thrown in the Chisnall vs Sherrock match

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

BashCast Late And Live Aid

The BashCast:: Late and Live Budget Special

Agenda:

1. Previous weeks questions
2. Budget 2026 – Thoughts from a winning punter perspective
3. PDC Darts World Championships 2026
4. Why we do Youtube Videos - Golf doubles, trebles, dog walks and editing difficulties.
5. Polymarket – Predictions markets have hit America, but are they the American Dream?
6. The return of a segment that was an old favourite - Why You’re A Prick.

#bettingat100.1andabove
Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net
Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/
Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast:: Late and Live and Let Live

Is this Podcast perfect?

No, its beautifully imperfect. I'm trying to host, audio engineer, present and produce all live on camera. It's a learning experience, bear with me through the mistakes!

Agenda:

1. Scotland make it to the World Cup Finals
2. The EV of EVs – Tom get scammed by a car salesman
3. Enhancements coming up: Player xG, Player stats and a new horse racing tool
4. The state of golf markets this week - Betfred, Ladbrokes, Exchanges and Bet365
5. Syndicates: What are they, how they work and some logistical tip

#bettingat100.1andabove
Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net
Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/
Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast Episode 227:: Late and Live and Late

Agenda:

1. Last weeks questions
2. Anthony Kaminskas is trending above PRINCE ANDREW. Let’s look at the story from a different perspective
3. NFL – as we hit the middle of the season of NFL we take a look at edges and speak to BBC and Guardian journalist Ryan Baldi about whats going on with Field Goals
4. Legal Hour - When should you take a bookmaker to court, and when should you suck it up?
5. Golf doubles – SBC do a golf doubles specials on the same week that I miss out on £33,000 by the click of a button.

#bettingat100.1andabove
Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net
Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/
Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

 

The BashCast Episode 226:: Late and Live Again Once More

Agenda:

 

1. The fortnight recap: Haaland, another decent Lucky 15 and the Porguese Villamoura Algarve Open featuring … Me
2. Shops: At what point do profitable shop bettors reject a bet due to cuts?
3. Last Episodes Questions on arbitration, AI and statistical approaches
4. Blogger and Mooshtips – the gambling social media world somehow sinks to new depths
5. We have Peter Webb from GeeksToy on for a chat
6. Testimonials, Clinic calls, Bet history and Smartbash. Some admin to sort out

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast Episode 225:: Late and Live Again

Agenda:

1. We go through the questions from the first BashCast late and live. Feel free to ask them this time around, but I cannot promise I’m reading the youtube comments.
2. An update from Professor Anthony Kaminskas AKBets golf double update from the BMW PGA Championship and the Procore Championsp
3. After Ladbrokes hit the news for paying out 100,000 euros on a 300,000 horse double, they’ve now implemented some rules on their machines to inform punters. But has it worked, and is this good news?
4. Black market operators – the government rhetoric is that they warn punters away from the Black Market. But are the government the root of the issue?
5. Some inside information from the Ryder cup causes a stir. We delve into different edges on a unique tournament like this
6. A donation to charity story from a bookiebashing member who has enjoyed good years with usAnd finally. A mug. A BashCast mug. It could be yours, just tell me – who is going to score first in the Feyenoord vs Aston Villa game?

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast Episode 224 - Late and Live

Agenda:

This is the audio from the YouTube video - The BashCast:: Late and Live. 

1. Who’s got the bag? 
2. Fred is doubling and tripling some match odds this weekend – we dive into the mathematics and the EV.
3. Football coupons – profits from the weekend from football coupons, the first edge we had at BB
4. Storytime – have you ever Outplayed anyone? Have you ever been Outplayed yourself? Let’s have a little story about … Outplayed
5. Yardstick - A new standalone tool at bookiebashing for finding value in horse racing
6. Double Delight Hatrick Heaven – whats happened last week and whats happening right now.
7. The Ryder cup next week – can we find an edge, and even if we can – do we want to bet on it?

The audio isn't perfect but we'll work on that. Timestamps are not available for this week.

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast 223 - Sharks, SUPs and Abandoned Vehicles

Agenda:

[00:02:09] - Tom goes through his summer breaks, the trials, the tribulations, the drownings and the lost vehicles
[00:34:23] -Horse racing goes through a losing spell during August so we deep dive into how bad it was in relative terms
[00:49:29] - Tom hits a £20k Lucky 15 just before the summer and so we discuss that bet, the last years horse system bets and some strategies for longevity in horse racing betting
[01:04:49] - Double Delight Hatrick Heaven is back and weekend one serves up nearly £3000 profit
[01:28:01] - Special Announcement! A new format is coming on Thursday 18th September
[01:34:20] - This segment is, frankly, unacceptable and it is advised that you turn off at this timestamp.

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

BashCast 222 – Why don’t I walk a mile in my own shoes?

Agenda:

[00:01:57] - Tom walks a couple of miles in the freezing cold before realising he’s forgotten his shoes
[00:16:20] - Europa edges on FCSB vs Man United, goals across the games and a review of PSV vs Liverpool
[00:35:03] - Tom discusses a long losing run to start 2025
[00:41:36] - A review of the market performance for goals, corners,player cards and shots on target
[00:52:49] - And some value and bets in this years 2025 Six Nations 

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net
Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

BashCast 221 - Dog walking, litter picking and American gambling

Agenda:

[00:02:05] - Tom takes his dog for a walk and gets in a confrontation with a lady
[00:20:15] - Changing times at bookiebashing
[00:27:06] - A champions league mistake with Young Boys v Atalanta that lands and a review of the First Goalscorer calculation
[00:43:07] - A first goal scorer edge in Crvena Zvedvedaveda
[00:47:16] - The Circasports Survivor contest in Nevaga

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

BashCast 220 - Discretionary Service Scam

[00:02:00] - Tom goes to see Moby and calls for an end to the scam that is discretionary services charges at restaurants
[00:22:50] - Explaining the concept of normalisation in data organisation and how it can be applied to betting for an edge
[00:39:34] - A deep dive into the inter-relationships between Team Most Shots on Target and Team to Win and whether there is a decent bet on Stoke vs Hull tonight

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet

Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast 219 - Zombies, Surfing and Mushroom Pizza

Agenda:

[00:02:00] - Look out, because Tom is back from the summer break and has switched on the projector to recount tales of surfing, zombies and mushroom pizza
[00:20:56] - We look further back to the SmartBash 2024 and review the positives, the negatives and a request for a couple to get in touch
[00:37:12] - The Gambling Reform Summit has taken place in Westminster this September, has any apparent value come from it?
[00:53:14] - We finish with a look at a heater that has started off Toms Autumn Season of betting.

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast 218 - Environmental Services cannot find us

Agenda:

[00:02:02] - Tom finds out Environmental Services are after him
[00:08:05] - 2024 Smart Betting Club Awards - The BashCast is back
[00:22:52] - More bad behaviour on Social Media - Fanwave Digital, Badmanbetting, Racing Blogger and Pro Sports Advice
[00:56:08] - Is the Gambling Commission investigation into insider betting on the election a waste of time?

#bettingat100.1andabove

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net
Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee 

The BashCast 217 - At least we know we're alive

Agenda:

[00:01:54] - We discuss the long-short paradox of time and how it applies to betting
[00:10:50] - Tom figures out he can still bet on Eurovision after he knows the result, but should he?
[00:20:13] - An exchange edge on the 8 place market in golf that everyone can play in
[00:33:18] - The good and the bad from the goalscorer betting worlds as Tom gets Lucky
[00:46:29] - And we finish with a look at the charlatans at the Guardian and the anything-but Charlatans at the SmartBash

#bettingat100.1andabove

 

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet

Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

 

The BashCast 216 -The Wrong Svensson

Agenda:

• [00:02:30] Tom goes to Disneyland, finds it has the lowest ROI of anything in the world
• [00:15:48] My Gambling history – where I started ,how I met some syndicates, why Duncan started bookiebashing in my kitchen and whether we can speak from any position of authority
• [00:46:14] SmartBash 2024 – tickets are selling fast, we have some big names that will be announced soon, big panels and bigger discussions planed at the UKs premier punter focussed networking event
• [01:02:01] Udinese v Bologna -= an example of where huge equite in a game where big value bets don’t mean nothing to the overall profit/loss picture
• [01:16:20] Betting isn’t for everyone – why you shouldn’t tell anyone you’re successful at punting on sports
• [01:31:39] From across the pond – gambling stories from the NFL and MLB that will make your eyes water

#bettingat100.1andabove

NB: We know there are some sound issues on the BashCast where some segments are loud and others are quieter. This is being worked on for future episodes!

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee 

215 - A SmartBash 2024 Announcement

Agenda:

[00:01:55] - Toms answers a question from a Pinnacle Odds Compiler over M25 roadworks
[00:15:36] - Jesse May and Ronan join us for a sneaky peak chat about Smart Bash 2024 (in association with Matchbook) this summer – and this time, everyone is invited to the party
[00:30:32] - A profit loss review for Toms gambling in shops and on exchanges in February and March
[00:49:58] - Cheltenham Festival Wrap Up
[01:06:05] - Is over 3.5 the new over 2.5? What is going on with premiership goals this season

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/

#bettingat100.1andabove

Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet
Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast 214 - Cheltenham 2024, winners, losers, loser tipsters, addicts and the GCF

Agenda:

[00:01:40] - Tom quits drinking only to be disappointed in the entire human race
[00:10:10] - Cheltenham festival is round the corner - we look at tipsters, who you can trust and who you cannot trust
[00:35:27] - A shift in liquiidty at the exchanges as Matchbook, Betdaq and Smarkets catch ground on Betfair
[00:48:54] - Abbie MacGregor and Andrew Woodman off of the Gamblers Consumer Forum join us to discuss last weeks debate on affordability checks in gambling at Parliament

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

#bettingat100.1andabove

https://gamblersconsumerforum.com/
https://twitter.com/GamblersCForum 

The BashCast 213 - Scamwave Digital and superusers

Agenda:

[00:01:40] - Tom recounts the time when he caused the meltdown of the cloakroom ticketing system at the Zanzibar nightclub in 1996.
[00:15:10] - We revisit @AndryRobsonTips after the last BashCast and have more information about the origins of these tweets.
[00:41:00] - We break down some of the mathematics of the enhanced specials at betdaq to show how to find value with or without a bookiebashing subscription.
[00:58:11] - New scandals are breaking in the online poker world
[01:21:35] - Tales of Duncan of Yore - Part 2

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

#bettingat100.1andabove 

The BashCast 212 - The Morals and Maths of Twitter Tipsters

Agenda:

 

[00:01:55] - Toms Xmas Dinner ends up on the kitchen floor

[00:09:03] - An in depth review of the mathematics and morals of @AndyRobsonTips

[00:51:27] - Pricing Luke Littler in the PDC World Championships

[01:12:47] - Exchange edges and a partnership with Betdaq

[01:35:28] - A looks at my first shop bets of the year and has anything changed in the models for 2024?

[01:54:00] - Tales of Duncan of Yore - a new feature on the BashCast

 

Want to send an email to the mailbag? tom@bookiebashing.net

The BashCast 211 - Jon Roberts off of Predictology

Agenda:

We are joined by Jon Roberts from Predictology. In this episode we discuss I'm a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here, skillsets for beating the markets, the logistics of reliable odds collection, modelling football, historical trending, pre-match vs inplay edges and the all important 2023 BashCast Xmas Quiz.

https://www.predictology.co/
https://www.youtube.com/@predictology
https://www.bookiebashing.net/

#bettingat100.1andabove

The BashCast 210 - Will Somebody Stop The Damn Match

Agenda:

 

[00:01:47] - Toms recounts a ten pin bowling evening that ends with putting someone in hospital

[00:12:43] - Horse racing ups and downs through the year and optimising horses by odds band

[00:28:49] - Newcastle play Dortmund in the Champions League and we look at edges in the Players xG

[00:44:50] - A consultation on the bookiebashing bet tracker and whether it does more harm than good

[01:18:53] - A Prisoners Dilemma as two advantage players find a loophole in video poker machines

 

#bettingat100.1andabove

The BashCast 209 - A Race Riot and the Thorpedo

Agenda:

[00:01:59] - Tom donates some money from a Mudryk win and recounts a story when he nearly caused a racial riot
[00:13:08] - A Ryder Cup summary, a few decent edges and angles and a missed opportunity
[00:34:57] - Betfred have a new Hotshots coupon in shops, how to calculate the value in a team to have the most goals on a Champions League evening
[00:52:10] - New Bookiebashing member Hussain joins us to share with us some $$$ success stories from his first few months value betting
[01:08:45] - The Gambling Commission send an extraordinary letter to the Racing Post. Can the Can Can man save us?

#bettingat100.1andabove

The BashCast 208 - A Charlatan Challenging What Others Think is Possible.

Agenda:

[00:01:46] - Tom gets into trouble with an exotic bird over the summer holidays
[00:21:00] - The Rugby World Cup – modelling points with a negative binomial probability, Fijian value + the xPlayerTries model
[00:39:19] - Thrill Seeker. Disrupter. Charlatan - a copycat challenges what others think is possible by copying our horse racing tracker. We explain why it doesn’t have much chance
[01:11:23] - And Aaron Rodgers achilles heel seems to be voided prop bets.

#bettingat100.1andabove 

The BashCast 207 - The £1500 Jaeger Bomb and a new best friend

Agenda:

 

[00:01:58] - Tom recaps the Smart-Bash event, the positives, the negatives, the-EV blackjack and the Jaeger Bombs that cost £1500

[00:33:04] - The Womens World Cup is underway – what edges are we looking at and given the goals in 2019 will it be overs and overs and overs and overs?

[00:49:17] -We have an email segment – some praise, some trolls, feedback from the BTC segment in the last BashCast and a technical question around Closing Line Value

[01:21:20] - And some words of honesty ahead of the school summer holiday break as Tom goes on the hunt for a new best friend. All of that and more coming up in the BashCast this afternoon

 

#bettingat100.1andabove

The BashCast Episode 206 - p-Values and Beer

Agenda:

[00:02:20] - Tom heads to a poker tournament looking for back to back victories
[00:23:20] - Golf betting on the exchange - Pete from SBC joins us to discuss his strategies and fantasy golf betting
[00:53:00] - Twitter - an Icy tweet is negative, Tom comments on it
[01:00:30] - New tools released at bookiebashing this summer
[01:08:00] - Shots Fired - p-values and edges is there an edge at this trading community or is it smoke and mirrors? What is going on? 

#bettingat100.1andabove